Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.026019 0.028148 0.030283 0.032580 0.034978 0.037404 0.040039
2025-08-17 0.021561 0.024903 0.028377 0.032241 0.036404 0.040736 0.045572
2025-08-24 0.018861 0.022887 0.027187 0.032085 0.037474 0.043190 0.049680
2025-08-31 0.016715 0.021201 0.026107 0.031810 0.038196 0.045074 0.052988
2025-09-07 0.015066 0.019904 0.025311 0.031707 0.038980 0.046913 0.056145
2025-09-14 0.013413 0.018467 0.024236 0.031180 0.039190 0.048033 0.058429
2025-09-21 0.011971 0.017170 0.023231 0.030646 0.039317 0.048994 0.060477
2025-09-28 0.010543 0.015792 0.022045 0.029826 0.039046 0.049447 0.061900
2025-10-05 0.010074 0.015566 0.022211 0.030575 0.040578 0.051943 0.065631
2025-10-12 0.009440 0.015086 0.022033 0.030882 0.041565 0.053793 0.068610
2025-10-19 0.008634 0.014334 0.021476 0.030694 0.041936 0.054906 0.070720
2025-10-26 0.008325 0.014216 0.021698 0.031447 0.043422 0.057313 0.074327
2025-11-02 0.007530 0.013443 0.021111 0.031249 0.043838 0.058560 0.076710
2025-11-09 0.006723 0.012614 0.020431 0.030927 0.044110 0.059660 0.078957
2025-11-16 0.006060 0.011938 0.019911 0.030774 0.044562 0.060950 0.081411
2025-11-23 0.005419 0.011242 0.019327 0.030506 0.044844 0.062017 0.083587
2025-11-30 0.004894 0.010680 0.018892 0.030406 0.045316 0.063298 0.086004
2025-12-07 0.004285 0.009937 0.018167 0.029892 0.045239 0.063893 0.087585
2025-12-14 0.003734 0.009234 0.017462 0.029372 0.045130 0.064428 0.089079
2025-12-21 0.003161 0.008436 0.016577 0.028572 0.044632 0.064461 0.089945
2025-12-28 0.003035 0.008405 0.016812 0.029303 0.046116 0.066951 0.093801
2026-01-04 0.002812 0.008178 0.016742 0.029602 0.047031 0.068730 0.096790
2026-01-11 0.002493 0.007744 0.016338 0.029418 0.047301 0.069695 0.098777